A Fatal Outcome after Cessation of Nucleotide Analogue Therapy in a Patient with Chronic Hepatitis B: A Case Report.

Introduction: Emerging evidence suggests that long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy can be ceased in a selective group of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This is being gradually implemented in clinical practice. Case Presentation: A 68-year-old man known with a chronic hepatitis B e antigen-positive hepatitis B infection without signs of advanced liver fibrosis or cirrhosis was admitted with acute liver failure. Two months prior to his admission, he ceased his NA therapy. During the admission, NA therapy was restarted, but the liver function worsened. The patient was put on the high-urgency liver transplantation waiting list, and the next day, he was successfully transplanted. However, the patient died 17 days later due to hemorrhagic shock that resulted from intra-abdominal bleeding and acute pancreatitis. Conclusion: Current guidelines suggest that NA therapy can be discontinued in a selective group of CHB patients. However, these guidelines suggest different stopping and follow-up criteria. This case illustrates that NA withdrawal is not without risks and that these differences in recommendations may lead to inadequate management and eventually a fatal outcome.

Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Fibrosis Score Predicts Liver Fibrosis Risk and Outcome in the General Population With Metabolic Dysfunction.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: There is an unmet need for noninvasive tests to improve case-finding and aid primary care professionals in referring patients at high risk of liver disease. METHODS: A metabolic dysfunction-associated fibrosis (MAF-5) score was developed and externally validated in a total of 21,797 individuals with metabolic dysfunction in population-based (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III, and Rotterdam Study) and hospital-based (from Antwerp and Bogota) cohorts. Fibrosis was defined as liver stiffness ≥8.0 kPa. Diagnostic accuracy was compared with FIB-4, nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score, and steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator. MAF-5 was externally validated with liver stiffness measurement ≥8.0 kPa, with shear-wave elastography ≥7.5 kPa, and biopsy-proven steatotic liver disease according to Metavir and Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Clinical Research Network scores, and was tested for prognostic performance (all-cause mortality). RESULTS: The MAF-5 score comprised waist circumference, body mass index (calculated as kg / m2), diabetes, aspartate aminotransferase, and platelets. With this score, 60.9% was predicted at low, 14.1% at intermediate, and 24.9% at high risk of fibrosis. The observed prevalence was 3.3%, 7.9%, and 28.1%, respectively. The area under the receiver operator curve of MAF-5 (0.81) was significantly higher than FIB-4 (0.61), and outperformed the FIB-4 among young people (negative predictive value [NPV], 99%; area under the curve [AUC], 0.86 vs NPV, 94%; AUC, 0.51) and older adults (NPV, 94%; AUC, 0.75 vs NPV, 88%; AUC, 0.55). MAF-5 showed excellent performance to detect liver stiffness measurement ≥12 kPa (AUC, 0.86 training; AUC, 0.85 validation) and good performance in detecting liver stiffness and biopsy-proven liver fibrosis among the external validation cohorts. MAF-5 score >1 was associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality in (un)adjusted models (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.47-1.73). CONCLUSIONS: The MAF-5 score is a validated, age-independent, inexpensive referral tool to identify individuals at high risk of liver fibrosis and all-cause mortality in primary care populations, using simple variables.

Association of HBsAg levels with differential gene expression in NK, CD8 T, and memory B cells in treated patients with chronic HBV.

Background & Aims: HBsAg secretion may impact immune responses to chronic HBV infection. Thus, therapeutic approaches to suppress HBsAg production are being investigated. Our study aims to examine the immunomodulatory effects of high and low levels of circulating HBsAg and thereby improve our understanding of anti-HBV immunity. Methods: An optimized 10x Genomics single-cell RNA sequencing workflow was applied to blood samples and liver fine-needle aspirates from 18 patients undergoing tenofovir/entecavir (NUC) treatment for chronic HBV infection. They were categorized based on their HBsAg levels: high (920-12,447 IU/ml) or low (1-100 IU/ml). Cluster frequencies, differential gene expression, and phenotypes were analyzed. Results: In the blood of HBV-infected patients on NUC, the proportion of KLRC2+ "adaptive" natural killer (NK) cells was significantly lower in the HBsAg-high group and, remarkably, both KLRC2+ NK and KLRG1+ CD8 T cells display enrichment of lymphocyte activation-associated gene sets in the HBsAg-low group. High levels of HBsAg were associated with mild immune activation in the liver. However, no suppression of liver-resident CXCR6+ NCAM1+ NK or CXCR6+ CD69+ CD8 T cells was detected, while memory B cells showed signs of activation in both the blood and liver. Conclusions: Among NUC-treated patients, we observed a minimal impact of HBsAg on leukocyte populations in the blood and liver. However, for the first time, we found that HBsAg has distinct effects, restricted to NK-, CD8 T-, and memory B-cell subsets, in the blood and liver. Our findings are highly relevant for current clinical studies evaluating treatment strategies aimed at suppressing HBsAg production and reinvigorating immunity to HBV. Impact and implications: This study provides unique insight into the impact of HBsAg on gene expression levels of immune cell subsets in the blood and liver, particularly in the context of NUC-treated chronic HBV infection. It holds significant relevance for current and future clinical studies evaluating treatment strategies aimed at suppressing HBsAg production and reinvigorating immunity to HBV. Our findings raise questions about the effectiveness of such treatment strategies and challenge the previously hypothesized immunomodulatory effects of HBsAg on immune responses against HBV.

Addition of PEG-interferon to long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy enhances HBsAg decline and clearance in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B: Multicentre Randomized Trial (PAS Study).

We studied whether 48 weeks of PEG-IFN alfa-2a add-on increases HBsAg-decline and clearance in HBeAg-negative patients on long-term nucleo(s)tide analogue (NA) therapy. In this investigator-initiated, randomized, controlled trial conducted in Europe and Canada, HBeAg-negative patients treated with NA > 12 months, with HBVDNA < 200 IU/mL, were enrolled. Patients were randomized 2:1 to 48 weeks of PEG-IFN alfa-2a add-on (180 µg per week) or continued NA-monotherapy with subsequent follow-up to Week 72. Endpoints were HBsAg decline (≥1 log10 IU/mL) and HBsAg clearance at Week 48. Of the 86 patients in the modified-intention-to-treat analysis, 58 patients received PEG-IFN add-on, and 28 continued NA monotherapy. At Week 48, 16(28%) patients achieved HBsAg decline ≥1 log10 in the add-on arm versus none on NA-monotherapy (p < .001), and HBsAg clearance was observed in 6 (10%) PEG-IFN add-on patients versus 0% NA-monotherapy (p = .01). HBVRNA was only detected in 2% after PEG-IFN treatment versus 19% in NA-monotherapy (p = .002) at Week 48. PEG-IFN add-on therapy was well tolerated in majority of patients. Low baseline HBsAg levels (<10 IU/mL) identified patients most likely to achieve HBsAg loss with PEG-IFN add-on, whereas an HBsAg level > 200 IU/mL at on-treatment Week 12 was highly predictive of non-response (NPV = 100%). Addition of PEG-IFN to long-term NA enhanced HBsAg decline and increased the chance of HBsAg clearance in HBeAg-negative patients on long-term NA. On-treatment HBsAg levels >200 IU/mL identify patients unlikely to benefit from PEG-IFN add-on and could be used as a potential stopping-rule for PEG-IFN therapy. Our findings support further exploration of immune modulation add-on to antiviral therapy, preferably using response-guided strategies, to increase functional cure rates in patients with CHB.

Sustained response and HBsAg loss after nucleo(s)tide analogue discontinuation in chronic hepatitis B patients: the prospective SNAP study.

BACKGROUND & AIM(S): Current guidelines suggest that nucleos(t)ide analogues (NA) can be discontinued before HBsAg loss in a selected group of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients. We aimed to study the safety and off-treatment response after NA cessation. METHODS: This is a prospective, multicentre, cohort study in which eligible patients discontinued NA therapy. Adult patients, with a CHB mono-infection, HBeAg-negative, without a (history of) liver cirrhosis, who had achieved long-term viral suppression were eligible. Follow-up visits were planned at week 2-4-8-12-24-36-48-72-96. Re-treatment criteria included severe hepatitis (ALT >10x ULN), signs of imminent liver failure (bilirubin >1.5x ULN or INR >1.5), or at the physician's own discretion. RESULTS: In total, 33 patients were enrolled. Patients were predominantly Caucasian (45.5%) and had genotype A/B/C/D/unknown in 3/4/6/10/10 (9.1/12.1/18.2/30.3/30.3%). At week 48, 15 patients (45.5%) achieved a sustained response (HBV DNA <2,000 IU/mL). At week 96, 13 patients (39.4%) achieved a sustained response, 4 (12.1%) achieved HBsAg loss, and 12 (36.4%) were re-treated. Severe hepatitis was the main reason for re-treatment (n=7, 21.2%). One patient with severe hepatitis developed jaundice, without signs of hepatic decompensation. Re-treatment was successful in all patients. CONCLUSION: NA therapy can be ceased in a highly selected group of CHB patients if close follow-up can be guaranteed. Treatment cessation may increase the chance of HBsAg loss in selected patients, which is counterbalanced by a significant risk of severe hepatitis.

Socio-economic factors associated with loss to follow-up among individuals with HCV: A Dutch nationwide cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The path to hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination is complicated by individuals who become lost to follow-up (LTFU) during care, particularly before receiving effective HCV treatment. We aimed to determine factors contributing to LTFU and whether LTFU is associated with mortality. METHODS: In this secondary analysis, we constructed a database including individuals with HCV who were either LTFU (data from the nationwide HCV retrieval project, CELINE) or treated with directly acting antivirals (DAA) (data from Statistics Netherlands) between 2012 and 2019. This database was linked to mortality data from Statistics Netherlands. Determinants associated with being LTFU versus DAA-treated were assessed using logistic regression, and mortality rates were compared between groups using exponential survival models. These analyses were additionally stratified on calendar periods: 2012-2014, 2015-2017 and 2018-2019. RESULTS: About 254 individuals, LTFU and 5547 DAA-treated were included. Being institutionalized (OR = 5.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 3.29-7.65), household income below the social minimum (OR = 1.96, 95% CI = 1.25-3.06), receiving benefits (OR = 1.74, 95% CI = 1.20-2.52) and psychiatric comorbidity (OR = 1.51, 95% CI = 1.09-2.10) were associated with LTFU. Mortality rates were significantly higher in individuals LTFU compared to those DAA-treated (2.99 vs. 1.15/100 person-years (PY), p < .0001), while in those DAA-treated, mortality rates slowly increased between 2012-2014 (.22/100PY) and 2018-2019 (2.25/100PY). CONCLUSION: In the Netherlands, individuals who are incarcerated/institutionalized, with low household income, or with psychiatric comorbidities are prone to being LTFU, which is associated with higher mortality. HCV care needs to be adapted for these vulnerable individuals.

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease, liver fibrosis, and structural brain imaging: The Cross-Cohort Collaboration.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Prior studies reported conflicting findings regarding the association of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and liver fibrosis with measures of brain health. We examined whether NAFLD and liver fibrosis are associated with structural brain imaging measures in middle- and old-age adults. METHODS: In this cross-sectional study among dementia- and stroke-free individuals, data were pooled from the Offspring and Third Generation cohorts of the Framingham Heart Study (FHS), the Rotterdam Study (RS), and the Study of Health in Pomerania. NAFLD was assessed through abdominal imaging. Transient hepatic elastography (FibroScan) was used to assess liver fibrosis in FHS and RS. Linear regression models were used to explore the relation of NAFLD and liver fibrosis with brain volumes, including total brain, gray matter, hippocampus, and white matter hyperintensities, adjusting for potential confounders. Results were combined using fixed effects meta-analysis. RESULTS: In total, 5660 and 3022 individuals were included for NAFLD and liver fibrosis analyses, respectively. NAFLD was associated with smaller volumes of total brain (ß = -3.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] = -5.4 to -1.7), total gray matter (ß = -1.9, 95% CI = -3.4 to -0.3), and total cortical gray matter (ß = -1.9, 95% CI = -3.7 to -0.01). In addition, liver fibrosis (defined as liver stiffness measure ≥8.2 kPa) was related to smaller total brain volumes (ß = -7.3, 95% CI = -11.1 to -3.5). Heterogeneity between studies was low. CONCLUSIONS: NAFLD and liver fibrosis may be directly related to brain aging. Larger and prospective studies are warranted to validate these findings and identify liver-related preventive strategies for neurodegeneration.

The Yield of Routine Post-Operative Doppler Ultrasound to Detect Early Post-Liver Transplantation Vascular Complications.

Early detection of liver transplantation (LT) vascular complications enables timely management. Our aim was to assess if routine Doppler ultrasound (rDUS) improves the detection of hepatic artery thrombosis (HAT), portal vein thrombosis (PVT) and hepatic venous outflow obstruction (HVOO). We retrospectively analysed timing and outcomes, number needed to diagnose one complication (NND) and positive predictive value (PPV) of rDUS on post-operative day (POD) 0,1 and 7 in 708 adult patients who underwent primary LT between 2010-2022. We showed that HAT developed in 7.1%, PVT in 8.2% and HVOO in 3.1% of patients. Most early complications were diagnosed on POD 0 (26.9%), 1 (17.3%) and 5 (17.3%). rDUS correctly detected 21 out of 26 vascular events during the protocol days. PPV of rDUS was 53.8%, detection rate 1.1% and NND was 90.5. Median time to diagnosis was 4 days for HAT and 47 days for PVT and 21 days for HVOO. After intervention, liver grafts were preserved in 57.1%. In conclusion, rDUS protocol helps to detect first week's vascular events, but with low PPV and a high number of ultrasounds needed.

Fatty Liver Index and mortality after myocardial infarction: A prospective analysis in the Alpha Omega Cohort.

Accumulating evidence shows that NAFLD might play a role in the etiology and progression of CVD, but little is known on the association of NAFLD and CVD mortality in patients with a history of a myocardial infarction (MI). Therefore, we studied the relationship of Fatty Liver Index (FLI), as indicator for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), with 12-year risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and all-cause mortality in post-MI patients. We included 4165 Dutch patients from the Alpha Omega Cohort aged 60-80 years who had an MI ≤10 years prior to study enrolment. NAFLD was defined as FLI ≥60. Patients were followed for cause-specific mortality from enrolment (2002-2006) through December 2018. Hazard ratios for CVD and all-cause mortality were obtained by multivariable Cox regression using FLI <30 (indicating absence of NAFLD) as the reference. Baseline FLI as a continuous measure was studied with mortality using restricted cubic splines analyses. The median (IQR) FLI was 68 (48-84). Sixty percent of the patients had FLI ≥60, who were more likely to be male and more often had diabetes, high blood pressure, and high serum cholesterol levels. During 12 years of follow-up, 2042 deaths occurred of which 846 from CVD. Patients with NAFLD were at increased risk of CVD mortality (HR: 1.55 [1.19, 2.03]) and all-cause mortality (HR: 1.21 [1.03; 1.41]) compared to patients without NAFLD. Results remained consistent after excluding patients with obesity and diabetes. To conclude, the adverse association of FLI with CVD mortality was stronger in female than in male patients with conventional cut-off points. FLI ≥60, indicating NAFLD, was a predictor for CVD and all-cause mortality in post-MI patients, independent of other cardiometabolic risk factors. However, cut-off points might differ between male and female patients for predicting CVD mortality.

Development, validation, and prognostic evaluation of a risk score for long-term liver-related outcomes in the general population: a multicohort study.

BACKGROUND: Liver cirrhosis is a major cause of death worldwide. Cirrhosis develops after a long asymptomatic period of fibrosis progression, with the diagnosis frequently occurring late, when major complications or cancer develop. Few reliable tools exist for timely identification of individuals at risk of cirrhosis to allow for early intervention. We aimed to develop a novel score to identify individuals at risk for future liver-related outcomes. METHODS: We derived the LiverRisk score from an international prospective cohort of individuals from six countries without known liver disease from the general population, who underwent liver fibrosis assessment by transient elastography. The score included age, sex, and six standard laboratory variables. We created four groups: minimal risk, low risk, medium risk, and high risk according to selected cutoff values of the LiverRisk score (6, 10, and 15). The model's discriminatory accuracy and calibration were externally validated in two prospective cohorts from the general population. Moreover, we ascertained the prognostic value of the score in the prediction of liver-related outcomes in participants without known liver disease with median follow-up of 12 years (UK Biobank cohort). FINDINGS: We included 14 726 participants: 6357 (43·2%) in the derivation cohort, 4370 (29·7%) in the first external validation cohort, and 3999 (27·2%) in the second external validation cohort. The score accurately predicted liver stiffness in the development and external validation cohorts, and was superior to conventional serum biomarkers of fibrosis, as measured by area under the receiver-operating characteristics curve (AUC; 0·83 [95% CI [0·78-0·89]) versus the fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4; 0·68 [0·61-0·75] at 10 kPa). The score was effective in identifying individuals at risk of liver-related mortality, liver-related hospitalisation, and liver cancer, thereby allowing stratification to different risk groups for liver-related outcomes. The hazard ratio for liver-related mortality in the high-risk group was 471 (95% CI 347-641) compared with the minimal risk group, and the overall AUC of the score in predicting 10-year liver-related mortality was 0·90 (0·88-0·91) versus 0.84 (0·82-0·86) for FIB-4. INTERPRETATION: The LiverRisk score, based on simple parameters, predicted liver fibrosis and future development of liver-related outcomes in the general population. The score might allow for stratification of individuals according to liver risk and thus guide preventive care. FUNDING: European Commission under the H20/20 programme; Fondo de Investigación Sanitaria de Salud; Instituto de Salud Carlos III; Spanish Ministry of Economy, Industry, and Competitiveness; the European Regional Development Fund; and the German Ministry of Education and Research (BMBF).

Effect of bariatric surgery on NAFLD/NASH: a single-centre observational prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) ranges from 25% in the general population to 90% in patients with obesity scheduled for bariatric surgery. NAFLD can progress towards non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) associated with complications such as cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma and cardiovascular disease. To date, losing weight and lifestyle modifications are the best known treatments for NASH. Bariatric surgery significantly improves NAFLD/NASH in the short term. However, the extent of this improvement is not yet clear and long-term data on the natural course of NAFLD/NASH after bariatric surgery are lacking. The factors involved in NAFLD/NASH regression after bariatric surgery have not been elucidated. METHODS AND ANALYSIS: This is an observational prospective cohort study including patients scheduled for bariatric surgery. Extensive metabolic and cardiovascular analyses will be carried out including measurements of carotid intima media thickness and pulse wave velocity. Genomic, proteomic, lipidomic and metabolomic studies will be done. Microbioma analyses before and 1 year after surgery will be done. Transient elastography measurements will be performed before and at 1, 3 and 5 years after surgery. For those with an elevated preoperative transient elastography measurement by Fibroscan, a laparoscopic liver biopsy will be performed during surgery. Primary outcome measures are the change of steatosis and liver fibrosis 5 years after surgery. Secondary outcome measure is the comparison of the transient elastography measurements with the NAFLD Activity Score from the biopsies. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION: The protocol has been approved by the Medical Research Ethics Committees United, Nieuwegein, on 1 March 2022 (registration code R21.103/NL79423.100.21). The study results will be submitted for publication in peer-reviewed journals and data will be presented at scientific meetings. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: NCT05499949.

Single-cell RNA sequencing of liver fine-needle aspirates captures immune diversity in the blood and liver in chronic hepatitis B patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: HBV infection is restricted to the liver, where it drives exhaustion of virus-specific T and B cells and pathogenesis through dysregulation of intrahepatic immunity. Our understanding of liver-specific events related to viral control and liver damage has relied almost solely on animal models, and we lack useable peripheral biomarkers to quantify intrahepatic immune activation beyond cytokine measurement. Our objective was to overcome the practical obstacles of liver sampling using fine-needle aspiration and develop an optimized workflow to comprehensively compare the blood and liver compartments within patients with chronic hepatitis B using single-cell RNA sequencing. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We developed a workflow that enabled multi-site international studies and centralized single-cell RNA sequencing. Blood and liver fine-needle aspirations were collected, and cellular and molecular captures were compared between the Seq-Well S 3 picowell-based and the 10× Chromium reverse-emulsion droplet-based single-cell RNA sequencing technologies. Both technologies captured the cellular diversity of the liver, but Seq-Well S 3 effectively captured neutrophils, which were absent in the 10× dataset. CD8 T cells and neutrophils displayed distinct transcriptional profiles between blood and liver. In addition, liver fine-needle aspirations captured a heterogeneous liver macrophage population. Comparison between untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B and patients treated with nucleoside analogs showed that myeloid cells were highly sensitive to environmental changes while lymphocytes displayed minimal differences. CONCLUSIONS: The ability to electively sample and intensively profile the immune landscape of the liver, and generate high-resolution data, will enable multi-site clinical studies to identify biomarkers for intrahepatic immune activity in HBV and beyond.

Spleen Stiffness Measurement Across the Spectrum of Liver Disease Patients in Real-World Practice.

Objectives: Spleen stiffness measurement (SSM) provides a non-invasive surrogate marker for clinical significant portal hypertension (CSPH). Results obtained in highly selected populations were promising but require validation across the spectrum of liver disease. We aimed to investigate the clinical applicability of SSM in a real-world setting. Methods: We prospectively enrolled patients referred for liver ultrasound (January-May 2021). Patients with a portosystemic shunt, liver transplant, or extrahepatic etiology of portal hypertension were excluded. We performed liver ultrasound, liver stiffness measurement (LSM) and SSM (dedicated software, 100 Hz-probe). Probable CSPH was established if ≥1 of the following items occurred: ascites, varices, encephalopathy, splenomegaly, recanalized umbilical vein, collaterals, dilated portal veins, hypertensive gastropathy, or LSM ≥25 kPa. Results: We enrolled 185 patients (53% male; age 53years [37-64], 33% viral hepatitis, 21% fatty liver disease). Of them, 31% of patients had cirrhosis (68% Child-Pugh A) and 38% of patients had signs of portal hypertension. SSM (23.8 kPa [16.2-42.3]) and LSM (6.7 kPa [4.6-12.0]) were successful and met reliability criteria in 70% and 95%, respectively. Spleen size was inversely associated with SSM failure (odds ratio: 0.66 increment/cm, 95% confidence interval: 0.52-0.82). Optimal spleen stiffness cut-off to detect probable CSPH was >26.5 kPa (likelihood ratio: 4.5, sensitivity: 83%; specificity: 82%). Spleen stiffness did not outperform liver stiffness in detecting probable CSPH (P = 1.0). Conclusions: In real-world practice, reliable SSM were obtained in 70% and could potentially stratify patients between high- and low-risk of probable CSPH. However, cut-offs for CSPH might be substantially lower than previously reported. Future studies validating these results are required. Clinical trial number: Netherlands Trial Register (Registration number: NL9369).

An international multidisciplinary consensus statement on MAFLD and the risk of CVD.

BACKGROUND: Fatty liver disease in the absence of excessive alcohol consumption is an increasingly common condition with a global prevalence of ~ 25-30% and is also associated with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Since systemic metabolic dysfunction underlies its pathogenesis, the term metabolic (dysfunction)-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) has been proposed for this condition. MAFLD is closely intertwined with obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus and atherogenic dyslipidemia, which are established cardiovascular risk factors. Unlike CVD, which has received attention in the literature on fatty liver disease, the CVD risk associated with MAFLD is often underestimated, especially among Cardiologists. METHODS AND RESULTS: A multidisciplinary panel of fifty-two international experts comprising Hepatologists, Endocrinologists, Diabetologists, Cardiologists and Family Physicians from six continents (Asia, Europe, North America, South America, Africa and Oceania) participated in a formal Delphi survey and developed consensus statements on the association between MAFLD and the risk of CVD. Statements were developed on different aspects of CVD risk, ranging from epidemiology to mechanisms, screening, and management. CONCULSIONS: The expert panel identified important clinical associations between MAFLD and the risk of CVD that could serve to increase awareness of the adverse metabolic and cardiovascular outcomes of MAFLD. Finally, the expert panel also suggests potential areas for future research.

The Steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE) score: validation in the general US population.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive tests are important in the initial risk stratification of people at risk of fibrosis. The recently developed steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE) score may have such potential but awaits external validation. METHODS: We analyzed 6973 participants aged 18-80 in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 2017-2020 cycle with data on liver stiffness and SAFE score without prevalent heart failure. Fibrosis was defined as liver stiffness ≥8.0 kPa. Accuracy was evaluated by AUC and assessment of test characteristics at the prespecified cutoffs for ruling out/ruling in fibrosis. RESULTS: The SAFE score categorized 14.7% of the population as high risk, 30.4% as intermediate risk, and 54.9% as low risk for fibrosis. The actual fibrosis prevalence in these groups was 28.0%, 10.9%, and 4.0%, respectively, translating into a positive predictive value of 0.28 at the high-risk cutoff and a negative predictive value of 0.96 at the low-risk cutoff. The AUC of the SAFE score (0.748) was significantly higher than the fibrosis-4 index (0.619) or NAFLD fibrosis score (0.718). However, test performance strongly depended on age categories: 90% of participants aged 18-40 years were considered at low risk for fibrosis, including 89/134 (66%) of clinically significant fibrosis cases. In the oldest group (60-80 y), fibrosis could only be safely ruled out among 17%, corresponding to a high referral rate of up to 83%. The best SAFE score performance was found in the middle-aged group (40-60 y). The results were consistent in target populations with metabolic dysfunction or steatosis. CONCLUSIONS: The SAFE score has overall good diagnostic accuracy in detecting fibrosis but was highly dependent on age. The SAFE score lacked sensitivity in younger populations and the ability to rule out fibrosis in older populations.